Categorie: Data analysis
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Using AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) to predict future shot locations for Liverpool in Premier League
Data helps make decisions in football, but most of the data out there helps analyse teams and players in post-match analysis. This means that we look after the events and determine performances. This gives us a scope of how players have done in a particular time period or how a team has faired against other…
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Progressive Long Pass Score: giving meaning to a long pass from the start location
I promise you that at some point, I will stop creating new metrics or presenting you with player scores. But I just love them. The reason for that is that event data allows us to play around and make our own metrics. You can tailor the data to the needs you need, but you have to stay…
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Throw-in success: generating shots through emphasis on throw-in routines
Set piece analysis is growing within club football and I very much welcome this development. When looking at set pieces you can actually divide them into 4 separate categories: corners, free kicks, throw-ins and penalty kicks. I think all categories have their own way of approaching them, but I want to focus today on throw-ins….
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Actionable analysis: Individual Header Rating (IHR) determines choices in blockers vs runners
In the new season 2024–2025 I want to try something new. I’ve been dabbling a lot in innovation (think of creating new metrics) and using analysis with existing data, but that’s not enough for me. It’s quite standard and I want to give more insight to what happens when you tailor your metrics whilst working…
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League stability analysis: evaluating how shot ability changes after promotion
It’s not a surprise to most of people, but the Dutch Eredivisie is one of the most interesting leagues in Europe for different reasons. It’s a league where you can develop talent, but it’s also a league that often acts as a feeder league to the top 5 European leagues. This often constitutes the big…
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Differences in shooting styles across Regionalliga — Germany’s 4th tier
“Data does tell facts and therefore always is the truth” — how often I’ve heard this, I can’t even count the number. I think this is such a weird way of looking at data, as data is a construct so if anything, it’s always subjective and prone to bias. One of the cases is how…