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Measuring players’ consistent xG performances with Coefficient of Variation (CV)
In media and online scouting reports, we often look at quality. How good is a player at this and that? We look at the quality of the clubs and the leagues. However, we often overlook other important aspects of data scouting, such as consistency and availability. We often talk about rating strikers and their prime…
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Corner Possession Index: measuring a team’s possession quality after an attacking corner.
In the past year, I have been looking more and more at data related to set pieces, and corners to be more specific. It is hard to look at the defensive side of the data because it is primarily focused on attacking numbers. I want to look deeper into the defensive data and I will…
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Using AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) to predict future shot locations for Liverpool in Premier League
Data helps make decisions in football, but most of the data out there helps analyse teams and players in post-match analysis. This means that we look after the events and determine performances. This gives us a scope of how players have done in a particular time period or how a team has faired against other…
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Progressive Long Pass Score: giving meaning to a long pass from the start location
I promise you that at some point, I will stop creating new metrics or presenting you with player scores. But I just love them. The reason for that is that event data allows us to play around and make our own metrics. You can tailor the data to the needs you need, but you have to stay…
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Throw-in success: generating shots through emphasis on throw-in routines
Set piece analysis is growing within club football and I very much welcome this development. When looking at set pieces you can actually divide them into 4 separate categories: corners, free kicks, throw-ins and penalty kicks. I think all categories have their own way of approaching them, but I want to focus today on throw-ins….
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Actionable analysis: Individual Header Rating (IHR) determines choices in blockers vs runners
In the new season 2024–2025 I want to try something new. I’ve been dabbling a lot in innovation (think of creating new metrics) and using analysis with existing data, but that’s not enough for me. It’s quite standard and I want to give more insight to what happens when you tailor your metrics whilst working…
Outswinger FC
Consultancy in football data
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@WillamSmith
This is how it all started…
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William Smith
Writer & Journalist